A World in Flux, edited by AK Bhattacharya and Amita Batra, compiles expert essays on India’s economic priorities in a volatile world. Covering trade, monetary policy, agriculture, and globalisation, the book offers clear, data-driven guidance for policymakers and readers alike.
Michael Patra’s essay on monetary policy challenges is another excellent piece written by someone who has been part of the process of implementing inflation targeting policy for many years. He shows how different our approach was compared with other countries in a time of crisis. First, liquidity easing was temporary which meant that rolling back was never a challenge as it was gently brought to normal. This is unlike other central banks which are still grappling with the issue of rolling back on quantitative easing used post-Lehman. Second, he also points out that by not lowering the policy rate to the levels done in the West (we had stopped at 4%), it was again easier to move up the ladder to a normal level. More importantly, he highlights how there is effective collaboration between the government and the central bank, making policy implementation smoother.
From Agriculture to Global Trade: A Wide-Angle View
AK Bhattacharya’s essay is quite direct in its critique of reforms. He captures all major reforms since 1991 till contemporary times, but highlights the importance of taking states along when it comes to furthering them. This can be contrasted with Patra’s view on the government and RBI being aligned which made policy formulation successful. The initial reforms are easier to implement, but when it comes to ticklish issues like farm laws or even land reforms, a majority government at the Centre still has to work with states to get them through. This is a major lesson learnt that has to be kept in mind. He also talks of success of the GST, attributing it mainly to the collaborative rather than unilateral approach of the government.
In a similar vein, Mahendra Dev writes on priorities for agriculture and argues for better coordination between the Centre and states, given that this field in the purview of the latter. While the nation has done well in terms of output, we do need reforms to improve total factor productivity with aggressive reforms in marketing. Subsidies can only help in the short run, but agriculture cannot sustain in this manner. Here he emphasises the greater use of technology, as well as investment, to elevate the overall quality of this sector. He goes a step further and recommends that MSP be replaced with direct benefit transfers so that there is better alignment with the market forces.
There are interesting essays by Radhika Kapoor on SMEs and their contribution to economic growth given the fact that they are highly labour-intensive. Rakesh Mohan writes on urbanisation and the challenges that lie here, especially in the area of how cities have to manage climate change. This is something that we can relate to as we see constant flooding in some of the metro cities as well as pollution in the capital.
At the global level, Ajay Chhibber discusses the relevance and role of multilateral institutions that were set up under Bretton Woods, while Shyam Saran picks up the issue of participating in China-led financial initiatives, given that it has made progress, though limited, when it comes to creating a parallel payments system in the regional context. At a broader level, Amita Batra talks of how the WTO stands with limited progress being made, as bilateral contracts have caught on along with preferential trade agreements among countries.
This book has an eclectic mix of both global and domestic subjects and offers the right blend of thoughts in a globalised setting that have to be considered when charting out the path of growth for the Indian economy. This will surely be a book on every policy maker’s shelf.
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